Chileans Union Espanola host Uruguayans CA Cerro on Tuesday night in the preliminary qualification rounds of the Copa Libertadores, South America’s premier continental competition.
The away side face an uphill task after losing last weeks first leg 3-2. It was an open game, with chances at both ends. Cerro had more of the ball possession but Union were incisive and clinical on the counter. We anticipate another open game tonight, with the visitors needing to score at least two to have any hope of advancing.
Unión have far more historical standing in comparison to their opponents, being 7 time Chilean Champions and runner up of the Copa in 1975. They last contested the Libertadores in 2014, following a 2013 league win. Los Hispanos managed to make it out of the group, losing only 1 of the 6 games contested, before being eliminated over two legs by Argentine side Arsenal. They have earned the right to be here tonight by finishing third in last years’ Apertura with a record of 8-3-4 and subsequently defeating Clausura ‘third placers’ O’Higgins on penalties in a play off match.
Cerro have qualified for the Libertadores courtesy of their consistent league performance over the 15-16 Primera season. A 3rd placed finish in the Apertura and a 6th placed finish in the Clausura was enough to secure them 3rd in the overall aggregate standings with an overall record of 16-4-10. Los Villeros do not have much experience in continental competition, having only contested the 1995 and 2010 editions of the Copa, crashing out in the group stages on each occasion.
Union put in a poor performance at the weekend in the opening game of the Chilean season, going down 3-0 on home territory to Colo Colo. It’s hard to read all that much into the game though, with the players’ and manager’s eyes more on tonight’s game. Diego Churín, Jorge Ampuero, Felipe Seymour and Pablo Galdames were all rested at the weekend and are awaiting their re-call. Union should line up in an attacking 4-3-3 as usual, with the following likely starters:
Sánchez; Currimilla, Ampuero, Domínguez, Larenas; Galdames, Seymour, Pinares; Jaime, Churín, Salom
Cerro gave a better performance at the weekend. They made a few changes for the opening round of the Uruguayan season, but still managed to defeat Racing 1-0 at home. We expect them to line up in a similar manner to last weeks fixtures, with no new injuries in the camp:
Britos; Izquierdo, Canosa, Pizzorno, Rodríguez; Pellejero, Moreira, Klein, Rodríguez; Luna, Franco
It promises to be another cracking game in Santiago. Cerro simply have no other option but to attack from minute one. They need a minimum of two goals to have any hope of going through, and even that would be relying on an unlikely clean sheet. We tipped Union to win last week. and they do look the more likely winners once again on home soil but we see more value in backing goals tonight. The hosts have shown defensive frailty lately, and with Cerro going all guns blazing they should concede. Equally, Union have shown last week what a threat they can be when given space to break in. The match has all of the conditions needed to expect goals. We anticipate a similar manner of game to last week and are backing over 2.5 goals AND BTTS.
Tip: Total Goals/BTTS: Over 2.5 & Yes at odds of 2.2 with bet365.
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